Economic Lessons
GDP refers to the value of all goods and services produced in acountry. For example Table 1a – Malaysia's GDP in 2002 was RM361 bln. This is the output produced by the people, government and firms in Malaysia, whether they are Malaysian or foreign citizens, or Malaysian or foreign-owned.
Table 1aTypes of Goods and Services
RM mln
Rubber
1,400
Oil Palm
12,000
Saw Logs
7,000
Fishing
6,000
Crude
20,000
Clothing
3,500
Cars
15,000
TV
30,000
Electricity
10,000
Water
1,500
Hotel Services
5,000
Insurances
20,000
etc.....
.....
Total
361,000
GNP refers to the value of all goods and services produced by the residents of a country. Malaysia's GNP is all the value of all the goods and services produced by Malaysian individuals, businesses and government. The relationship between GDP and GNP is illustrated in Figure 1a .
Figure 1b– Malaysia's GDP is always higher than Malaysia's GNP.
Nominal GDP measures goods and services in current price while real GDP measures goods and services in constant price.Table 1b.
Table 1b : Real and Nominal GDP, an illustration1987 nominal GDP
2002 nominal GDP
2002 real GDP
Rice
100kg @ $2.00 = $200
150kg @ $2.50 = $375
150kg @ $2.00 = $300
Car
10 units @ $100 = $1000
20 units @ $150 = $3000
20 units @ $100 = $2000
Total
$1200
$3375
$2300
Figure 1c – Malaysia's nominal GDP is higher than real GDP.
Currently, Malaysia's real GDP is measured in 1987 prices.Figure 1d – Malaysia's long term real and nominal GDP growth rates.
The most common definition of recession is 2 consecutive quarters of quarter-on-quarter negative GDP growth. In Malaysia, recession is when annual GDP growth turns negative. In the US, recession is determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research, where it is a period of a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.
We can look at the GDP data from two angles. The first one is from the activity angle.
Table 1c : Malaysia's Real GDP by Economic Activity in 2002Growth(%)
% share
Agriculture, livestock, forestry, fishing
3
8.4
Mining and quarrying
3.7
7.2
Manufacturing
4
30.1
Construction
2.3
3.3
Services
4.1
57
Figure 1e : Malaysia's Services sector is the biggest sector in the economy.
Figure 1f : Agriculture and Mining Sectors have volatile growth.
Figure 1g : Agriculture and Mining Sectors' share in the economy are declining.
Figure 1h : Growth in Manufacturing sector – strong before 1997/98 crisis.
Figure 1i: Manufacturing's share in GDP is rising.
Figure 1j : Growth in the Construction sector.
Figure 1k : Construction's share in GDP peaked in 1997.
Figure 1l : Growth in the Services sector is more stable.
Figure 1m : Services share in GDP is rising.
Summary : GDP = Agriculture + Mining + Manufacturing + Construction + Services
The second is from the expenditure angle.
Table 1d : Malaysia's Real GDP by expenditure in 2002Growth(%)
% share
Public Consumption
12.2
14.3
Private Consumption
4.4
46.5
Investment
0.3
28.8
Exports of goods and services
3.6
107.5
Imports of goods and services
6.2
98.7
Figure 1n : Private consumption.
Figure 1o : Private consumption's share in GDP.
Figure 1p : Public consumption grew strongly after the 1997/1998 crisis.
Figure 1q : Public consumption's share in GDP on the rise after 1997/1998 crisis.
Figure 1r : Growth in investment.
Figure 1s : Investment share in GDP.
Figure 1t : % share of exports and imports, Malaysia's economy is influenced greatly by external sector.
Summary :
From an expenditure angle,
GDP = Private Consumption + Public Consumption + Investment + Exports - Imports